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When to Lock Your Mortgage Rate (And When to Float)

When to Lock Your Mortgage Rate (And When to Float)
Educational content only. This article is for general informational purposes and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. Results and strategies may vary based on individual circumstances. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.

A rate lock is the lender's promise that, for a defined period (usually 30, 45, or 60 days), they'll honor today's rate even if market rates rise. Floating means leaving it un-locked and accepting whatever rate the market gives you at closing. The decision feels like gambling, but it's really an asymmetric-risk question.

Standard Lock Periods

Lock LengthTypical UseCost
15 daysClosing imminentFree / discounted
30 daysStandard closeFree
45 daysMost commonSlight pricing impact (~0.05%)
60 daysLonger timeline+0.10% โ€“ 0.15% to rate
90+ days (extended)New construction, complex closings+0.25%+ or upfront fee

When to Lock Immediately

  • Closing is less than 30 days out
  • Rates have been rising over the past 2 weeks
  • Major economic data is coming (Fed meeting, jobs report, CPI release)
  • You can't afford the higher payment if rates rise
  • You feel anxious watching rates โ€” peace of mind has value

When Floating Might Make Sense

Floating only makes sense when rates are clearly trending down AND your closing is far enough out for the trend to develop. If rates have dropped 0.30% in the past week and your closing is 45 days away, floating for another 1โ€“2 weeks may capture another 0.10โ€“0.20%. But floating is a bet, not a strategy.

The asymmetry
The upside of floating is usually 0.05% โ€“ 0.25% lower rate. The downside is rates can rise 0.25% โ€“ 0.75% in a single bad week. Asymmetric risk says: lock when in doubt.

Float-Down Provisions

Some lenders offer a "float-down" โ€” if rates drop more than 0.25% before closing, they'll lower your locked rate once. This costs a small upfront fee (often 0.125% โ€“ 0.25% of the loan amount). It's the best of both worlds: protection against rises, and the option to capture a meaningful drop. Worth asking about, especially in volatile markets.

Takeaway

In doubt, lock. The downside of a worse rate over 30 years vastly outweighs the upside of a small lock-day win. Float only when rates are clearly trending lower and you have time on your side.

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